Tuesday 26 August 2014

USDJPY



USDJPY 4Hr

The USDJPY has formed a bearish gartley butterfly pattern. It has completed the 1.618 extention of wave B and a decrease in upward momentum can also be observed as their is RSI divergence. Prices are expected to fall, an important level to watch is 103.82 as a solid close below this level would indicate that the bears are gaining control and the next levels to watch would be 103.45 (weekly pivot) and 102.9.

Wednesday 20 August 2014

USDCHF


USDCHF 4Hr

The USDCHF as broken out of  the 0.9108 to 0.9037 trading range, prices may retest 0.9108 to test for selling pressure and if prices close below this level prices may go on to test of 0.9037. 

 Expecting prices to rise to around 0.9153 to 0.9169 before finding strong resistance. The price action  at 0.9153 to 0.9169 should give us insight into the future direction of the market however 0.9169 represent the 1.618 retracement of wave 4 and 0.9153 represents an up move that is 0.618 of wave 3 in length hence 0.9153 to 0.9169 is a key price area to watch.

Tuesday 19 August 2014

EURUSD


EURUSD 4Hr

The EURUSD looks poised to break out of a running triangle pattern. This is a type of contracting triangular pattern in which wave B extends beyond the origin of wave A, this type of pattern is usually seen in 4th waves. 

Prices are expected to fall to around 1.3275, if prices however managed to breakout to the north then 1.3513 which represents a 50% retracement of the down move starting from the July high, would be the next major price level to look out for.

Wednesday 13 August 2014

NZDJPY



NZDJPY 1Hr

The NZDJPY is currently in a strong down trend on the 4hr and is at the trend line from the June high. It has completed an ABC pattern and is also at the 61.8 fib retracement  level from this months high. It is also at a past support future resistance level and the length of wave A is equal to the length of wave C which has an inner 5 wave up move signalling the end of wave C.
Prices are expected to fall however if prices close above 86.91 the up move may continue to as far as 87.28 before finding strong resistance. A key level to watch is 86.55 if prices fail to close below 86.55 the up move is likely to continue if prices however falls through this level that would indicate that the bears are in control and the next levels to look out for would be 86.17 and 85.79.


Wednesday 6 August 2014

EURUSD


EURUSD 4H

The EURUSD is trading below the lower channel line and has completed a 5 wave down move, there is also RSI divergence on the 4hr. At 1.3365 a false break was observed as prices return to close above this price level on high volume signalling the potential end of the down move.
Expecting the EURUSD to rally to around 1.3484 to 1.3515 however if prices manage to penetrate 1.3365 again prices may go as low as 1.3315.